| Estimate | Std. Error | 95% CI lower | 95% CI upper | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSB North Mean Recruitment | 13023.677 | 3228.566 | 8011.632 | 2.117124e+04 |
| BSB North NAA \(\sigma\) (age 1) | 0.949 | 0.132 | 0.723 | 1.247000e+00 |
| BSB North NAA \(\sigma\) (age 2) | 0.771 | 0.042 | 0.693 | 8.590000e-01 |
| REC CPA fully selected q | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000000e+00 |
| VAST Spring logit(q) intercept | -11.605 | 0.169 | -11.937 | -1.127300e+01 |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 1 | 0.015 | 0.009 | 0.004 | 5.000000e-02 |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 2 | 0.310 | 0.144 | 0.107 | 6.270000e-01 |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 3 | 0.736 | 0.184 | 0.303 | 9.470000e-01 |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 4 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 5 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 6 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 7 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 1: Mean Selectivity for age 8+ | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 1 | 0.034 | 0.032 | 0.005 | 1.890000e-01 |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 2 | 0.334 | 0.211 | 0.072 | 7.630000e-01 |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 3 | 0.589 | 0.233 | 0.179 | 9.040000e-01 |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 4 | 0.798 | 0.158 | 0.366 | 9.640000e-01 |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 5 | 0.899 | 0.093 | 0.547 | 9.850000e-01 |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 6 | 0.957 | 0.045 | 0.721 | 9.950000e-01 |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 7 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 2: Mean Selectivity for age 8+ | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 1 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 2 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 3 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 4 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 5 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 6 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 7 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 3: Selectivity for age 8+ | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 1 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 2 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 3 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 4 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 5 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 6 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 7 | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 4: Selectivity for age 8+ | 0.500 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 1 | 0.186 | 0.074 | 0.080 | 3.740000e-01 |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 2 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 3 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 4 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 5 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 6 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 7 | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 5: Mean Selectivity for age 8+ | 1.000 | – | – | – |
| Block 6: Mean \(a_{50}\) | 1.776 | 0.376 | 1.147 | 2.618000e+00 |
| Block 6: Mean 1/slope (increasing) | 0.411 | 0.136 | 0.213 | 7.750000e-01 |
| Block 1: Selectivity RE \(\sigma\) | 0.001 | 0.250 | 0.000 | 5.683767e+251 |
| Block 1: Selectivity RE AR1 \(\rho\) (age) | 0.999 | 0.000 | -1.000 | 1.000000e+00 |
| Block 1: Selectivity RE AR1 \(\rho\) (year) | 0.515 | 0.127 | 0.378 | 9.540000e-01 |
| Block 2: Selectivity RE \(\sigma\) | 0.223 | 0.031 | 0.170 | 2.930000e-01 |
| Block 2: Selectivity RE AR1 \(\rho\) (age) | 0.498 | 0.066 | 0.628 | 8.960000e-01 |
| Block 2: Selectivity RE AR1 \(\rho\) (year) | 0.736 | 0.023 | 0.878 | 9.840000e-01 |
| Block 5: Selectivity RE \(\sigma\) | 0.252 | 0.064 | 0.153 | 4.150000e-01 |
| Block 5: Selectivity RE AR1 \(\rho\) (year) | 0.661 | 0.076 | 0.549 | 9.880000e-01 |
| Block 6: Selectivity RE \(\sigma\) | 0.228 | 0.105 | 0.092 | 5.650000e-01 |
| Block 6: Selectivity RE AR1 \(\rho\) (year) | 0.552 | 0.155 | 0.174 | 9.800000e-01 |
| Commercial in North age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) | 37.390 | 2.183 | 33.348 | 4.192200e+01 |
| Recreational in North age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) | 2.942 | 0.358 | 2.318 | 3.736000e+00 |
| REC CPA in North age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) | 3.470 | 0.367 | 2.821 | 4.268000e+00 |
| VAST Spring in North age comp, logistic-normal: \(\sigma\) | 50.328 | 2.463 | 45.726 | 5.539400e+01 |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1989 | 6403 | 3580 | 1743 | 803 | 369 | 169 | 77 | 65 |
| 1990 | 7061 | 2317 | 1753 | 363 | 209 | 29 | 5 | 31 |
| 1991 | 4911 | 3424 | 520 | 639 | 106 | 24 | 2 | 33 |
| 1992 | 3864 | 3829 | 234 | 79 | 258 | 42 | 13 | 94 |
| 1993 | 1728 | 1760 | 441 | 369 | 39 | 320 | 15 | 23 |
| 1994 | 15315 | 433 | 1542 | 135 | 175 | 17 | 62 | 7 |
| 1995 | 26855 | 1856 | 486 | 99 | 87 | 6 | 8 | 26 |
| 1996 | 29905 | 4165 | 603 | 157 | 37 | 69 | 7 | 11 |
| 1997 | 4219 | 11340 | 774 | 178 | 114 | 19 | 33 | 18 |
| 1998 | 2002 | 3484 | 877 | 561 | 90 | 123 | 10 | 45 |
| 1999 | 40960 | 2753 | 710 | 390 | 153 | 80 | 53 | 33 |
| 2000 | 38104 | 6407 | 878 | 762 | 161 | 188 | 16 | 33 |
| 2001 | 11231 | 4895 | 2902 | 762 | 455 | 161 | 231 | 7 |
| 2002 | 21603 | 8973 | 4130 | 1894 | 216 | 71 | 79 | 30 |
| 2003 | 7154 | 4751 | 2601 | 2070 | 975 | 84 | 34 | 20 |
| 2004 | 3387 | 3333 | 5835 | 857 | 1268 | 328 | 3 | 23 |
| 2005 | 6390 | 3472 | 1035 | 1517 | 659 | 507 | 117 | 37 |
| 2006 | 22273 | 6608 | 1706 | 1523 | 1780 | 256 | 340 | 2 |
| 2007 | 18994 | 9004 | 3721 | 953 | 617 | 649 | 283 | 42 |
| 2008 | 22285 | 10478 | 4012 | 1363 | 364 | 283 | 190 | 126 |
| 2009 | 22619 | 13807 | 6746 | 4302 | 1046 | 73 | 30 | 169 |
| 2010 | 9456 | 9749 | 9114 | 5284 | 3107 | 437 | 21 | 26 |
| 2011 | 22133 | 8212 | 5451 | 4202 | 1623 | 1024 | 134 | 21 |
| 2012 | 76556 | 20113 | 10118 | 4428 | 3371 | 1312 | 629 | 131 |
| 2013 | 30811 | 27592 | 5133 | 4331 | 2427 | 1560 | 475 | 288 |
| 2014 | 14180 | 13438 | 31813 | 4968 | 2740 | 1595 | 986 | 522 |
| 2015 | 13608 | 12699 | 10568 | 15930 | 2914 | 1326 | 663 | 638 |
| 2016 | 51661 | 17788 | 5223 | 4955 | 14215 | 1716 | 1088 | 764 |
| 2017 | 20585 | 38506 | 8603 | 3611 | 3437 | 8685 | 647 | 551 |
| 2018 | 6232 | 12260 | 21470 | 4895 | 1835 | 2169 | 6202 | 704 |
| 2019 | 22426 | 6172 | 12232 | 23053 | 4074 | 1624 | 1489 | 5006 |
| 2020 | 27033 | 13898 | 5748 | 11189 | 13323 | 2580 | 1258 | 4183 |
| 2021 | 24760 | 15248 | 14299 | 4450 | 6312 | 10524 | 1636 | 4197 |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1989 | 0.005 | 0.092 | 0.208 | 0.274 | 0.274 | 0.274 | 0.274 | 0.274 |
| 1990 | 0.006 | 0.138 | 0.366 | 0.535 | 0.535 | 0.535 | 0.535 | 0.535 |
| 1991 | 0.013 | 0.178 | 0.284 | 0.321 | 0.321 | 0.321 | 0.321 | 0.321 |
| 1992 | 0.029 | 0.217 | 0.267 | 0.280 | 0.280 | 0.280 | 0.280 | 0.280 |
| 1993 | 0.033 | 0.184 | 0.212 | 0.218 | 0.218 | 0.218 | 0.218 | 0.218 |
| 1994 | 0.029 | 0.213 | 0.260 | 0.271 | 0.271 | 0.271 | 0.271 | 0.271 |
| 1995 | 0.022 | 0.193 | 0.249 | 0.264 | 0.264 | 0.264 | 0.264 | 0.264 |
| 1996 | 0.013 | 0.216 | 0.385 | 0.452 | 0.452 | 0.452 | 0.452 | 0.452 |
| 1997 | 0.005 | 0.094 | 0.221 | 0.298 | 0.298 | 0.298 | 0.298 | 0.298 |
| 1998 | 0.005 | 0.117 | 0.294 | 0.412 | 0.412 | 0.412 | 0.412 | 0.412 |
| 1999 | 0.007 | 0.160 | 0.446 | 0.679 | 0.679 | 0.679 | 0.679 | 0.679 |
| 2000 | 0.003 | 0.072 | 0.192 | 0.284 | 0.284 | 0.284 | 0.284 | 0.284 |
| 2001 | 0.004 | 0.089 | 0.252 | 0.388 | 0.388 | 0.388 | 0.388 | 0.388 |
| 2002 | 0.003 | 0.078 | 0.211 | 0.315 | 0.315 | 0.315 | 0.315 | 0.315 |
| 2003 | 0.001 | 0.028 | 0.112 | 0.253 | 0.253 | 0.253 | 0.253 | 0.253 |
| 2004 | 0.001 | 0.027 | 0.120 | 0.355 | 0.355 | 0.355 | 0.355 | 0.355 |
| 2005 | 0.001 | 0.016 | 0.080 | 0.310 | 0.310 | 0.310 | 0.310 | 0.310 |
| 2006 | 0.000 | 0.010 | 0.053 | 0.238 | 0.238 | 0.238 | 0.238 | 0.238 |
| 2007 | 0.001 | 0.018 | 0.085 | 0.312 | 0.312 | 0.312 | 0.312 | 0.312 |
| 2008 | 0.001 | 0.021 | 0.080 | 0.175 | 0.175 | 0.175 | 0.175 | 0.175 |
| 2009 | 0.000 | 0.012 | 0.039 | 0.067 | 0.067 | 0.067 | 0.067 | 0.067 |
| 2010 | 0.000 | 0.007 | 0.027 | 0.064 | 0.064 | 0.064 | 0.064 | 0.064 |
| 2011 | 0.001 | 0.013 | 0.045 | 0.084 | 0.084 | 0.084 | 0.084 | 0.084 |
| 2012 | 0.001 | 0.012 | 0.035 | 0.055 | 0.055 | 0.055 | 0.055 | 0.055 |
| 2013 | 0.001 | 0.024 | 0.059 | 0.082 | 0.082 | 0.082 | 0.082 | 0.082 |
| 2014 | 0.001 | 0.020 | 0.047 | 0.064 | 0.064 | 0.064 | 0.064 | 0.064 |
| 2015 | 0.001 | 0.018 | 0.048 | 0.072 | 0.072 | 0.072 | 0.072 | 0.072 |
| 2016 | 0.001 | 0.023 | 0.058 | 0.082 | 0.082 | 0.082 | 0.082 | 0.082 |
| 2017 | 0.002 | 0.048 | 0.118 | 0.165 | 0.165 | 0.165 | 0.165 | 0.165 |
| 2018 | 0.002 | 0.041 | 0.094 | 0.124 | 0.124 | 0.124 | 0.124 | 0.124 |
| 2019 | 0.002 | 0.037 | 0.080 | 0.104 | 0.104 | 0.104 | 0.104 | 0.104 |
| 2020 | 0.002 | 0.037 | 0.075 | 0.093 | 0.093 | 0.093 | 0.093 | 0.093 |
| 2021 | 0.002 | 0.038 | 0.077 | 0.097 | 0.097 | 0.097 | 0.097 | 0.097 |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1989 | 0.005 | 0.092 | 0.208 | 0.274 | 0.274 | 0.274 | 0.274 | 0.274 |
| 1990 | 0.006 | 0.138 | 0.366 | 0.535 | 0.535 | 0.535 | 0.535 | 0.535 |
| 1991 | 0.013 | 0.178 | 0.284 | 0.321 | 0.321 | 0.321 | 0.321 | 0.321 |
| 1992 | 0.029 | 0.217 | 0.267 | 0.280 | 0.280 | 0.280 | 0.280 | 0.280 |
| 1993 | 0.033 | 0.184 | 0.212 | 0.218 | 0.218 | 0.218 | 0.218 | 0.218 |
| 1994 | 0.029 | 0.213 | 0.260 | 0.271 | 0.271 | 0.271 | 0.271 | 0.271 |
| 1995 | 0.022 | 0.193 | 0.249 | 0.264 | 0.264 | 0.264 | 0.264 | 0.264 |
| 1996 | 0.013 | 0.216 | 0.385 | 0.452 | 0.452 | 0.452 | 0.452 | 0.452 |
| 1997 | 0.005 | 0.094 | 0.221 | 0.298 | 0.298 | 0.298 | 0.298 | 0.298 |
| 1998 | 0.005 | 0.117 | 0.294 | 0.412 | 0.412 | 0.412 | 0.412 | 0.412 |
| 1999 | 0.007 | 0.160 | 0.446 | 0.679 | 0.679 | 0.679 | 0.679 | 0.679 |
| 2000 | 0.003 | 0.072 | 0.192 | 0.284 | 0.284 | 0.284 | 0.284 | 0.284 |
| 2001 | 0.004 | 0.089 | 0.252 | 0.388 | 0.388 | 0.388 | 0.388 | 0.388 |
| 2002 | 0.003 | 0.078 | 0.211 | 0.315 | 0.315 | 0.315 | 0.315 | 0.315 |
| 2003 | 0.001 | 0.028 | 0.112 | 0.253 | 0.253 | 0.253 | 0.253 | 0.253 |
| 2004 | 0.001 | 0.027 | 0.120 | 0.355 | 0.355 | 0.355 | 0.355 | 0.355 |
| 2005 | 0.001 | 0.016 | 0.080 | 0.310 | 0.310 | 0.310 | 0.310 | 0.310 |
| 2006 | 0.000 | 0.010 | 0.053 | 0.238 | 0.238 | 0.238 | 0.238 | 0.238 |
| 2007 | 0.001 | 0.018 | 0.085 | 0.312 | 0.312 | 0.312 | 0.312 | 0.312 |
| 2008 | 0.001 | 0.021 | 0.080 | 0.175 | 0.175 | 0.175 | 0.175 | 0.175 |
| 2009 | 0.000 | 0.012 | 0.039 | 0.067 | 0.067 | 0.067 | 0.067 | 0.067 |
| 2010 | 0.000 | 0.007 | 0.027 | 0.064 | 0.064 | 0.064 | 0.064 | 0.064 |
| 2011 | 0.001 | 0.013 | 0.045 | 0.084 | 0.084 | 0.084 | 0.084 | 0.084 |
| 2012 | 0.001 | 0.012 | 0.035 | 0.055 | 0.055 | 0.055 | 0.055 | 0.055 |
| 2013 | 0.001 | 0.024 | 0.059 | 0.082 | 0.082 | 0.082 | 0.082 | 0.082 |
| 2014 | 0.001 | 0.020 | 0.047 | 0.064 | 0.064 | 0.064 | 0.064 | 0.064 |
| 2015 | 0.001 | 0.018 | 0.048 | 0.072 | 0.072 | 0.072 | 0.072 | 0.072 |
| 2016 | 0.001 | 0.023 | 0.058 | 0.082 | 0.082 | 0.082 | 0.082 | 0.082 |
| 2017 | 0.002 | 0.048 | 0.118 | 0.165 | 0.165 | 0.165 | 0.165 | 0.165 |
| 2018 | 0.002 | 0.041 | 0.094 | 0.124 | 0.124 | 0.124 | 0.124 | 0.124 |
| 2019 | 0.002 | 0.037 | 0.080 | 0.104 | 0.104 | 0.104 | 0.104 | 0.104 |
| 2020 | 0.002 | 0.037 | 0.075 | 0.093 | 0.093 | 0.093 | 0.093 | 0.093 |
| 2021 | 0.002 | 0.038 | 0.077 | 0.097 | 0.097 | 0.097 | 0.097 | 0.097 |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1989 | 0.008 | 0.218 | 0.339 | 0.368 | 0.373 | 0.376 | 0.381 | 0.381 |
| 1990 | 0.009 | 0.150 | 0.202 | 0.214 | 0.216 | 0.218 | 0.220 | 0.220 |
| 1991 | 0.007 | 0.112 | 0.173 | 0.190 | 0.193 | 0.195 | 0.197 | 0.197 |
| 1992 | 0.004 | 0.052 | 0.077 | 0.086 | 0.087 | 0.088 | 0.089 | 0.089 |
| 1993 | 0.012 | 0.128 | 0.178 | 0.194 | 0.197 | 0.199 | 0.202 | 0.202 |
| 1994 | 0.022 | 0.159 | 0.209 | 0.227 | 0.230 | 0.232 | 0.235 | 0.235 |
| 1995 | 0.009 | 0.066 | 0.101 | 0.113 | 0.115 | 0.116 | 0.118 | 0.118 |
| 1996 | 0.007 | 0.046 | 0.084 | 0.097 | 0.099 | 0.101 | 0.102 | 0.102 |
| 1997 | 0.007 | 0.054 | 0.113 | 0.136 | 0.140 | 0.143 | 0.145 | 0.145 |
| 1998 | 0.005 | 0.034 | 0.079 | 0.100 | 0.104 | 0.106 | 0.108 | 0.108 |
| 1999 | 0.015 | 0.088 | 0.162 | 0.194 | 0.200 | 0.204 | 0.207 | 0.207 |
| 2000 | 0.017 | 0.103 | 0.180 | 0.222 | 0.230 | 0.234 | 0.238 | 0.238 |
| 2001 | 0.016 | 0.086 | 0.191 | 0.273 | 0.291 | 0.301 | 0.307 | 0.307 |
| 2002 | 0.017 | 0.079 | 0.185 | 0.314 | 0.348 | 0.365 | 0.376 | 0.376 |
| 2003 | 0.014 | 0.064 | 0.149 | 0.284 | 0.331 | 0.356 | 0.370 | 0.370 |
| 2004 | 0.008 | 0.039 | 0.077 | 0.141 | 0.165 | 0.177 | 0.183 | 0.183 |
| 2005 | 0.015 | 0.070 | 0.142 | 0.251 | 0.299 | 0.322 | 0.336 | 0.336 |
| 2006 | 0.012 | 0.053 | 0.107 | 0.184 | 0.215 | 0.229 | 0.237 | 0.237 |
| 2007 | 0.015 | 0.067 | 0.144 | 0.226 | 0.255 | 0.267 | 0.274 | 0.274 |
| 2008 | 0.014 | 0.063 | 0.150 | 0.259 | 0.300 | 0.315 | 0.324 | 0.324 |
| 2009 | 0.016 | 0.070 | 0.164 | 0.260 | 0.295 | 0.308 | 0.316 | 0.316 |
| 2010 | 0.015 | 0.077 | 0.174 | 0.278 | 0.322 | 0.336 | 0.345 | 0.345 |
| 2011 | 0.009 | 0.043 | 0.090 | 0.159 | 0.195 | 0.206 | 0.213 | 0.213 |
| 2012 | 0.015 | 0.069 | 0.121 | 0.225 | 0.283 | 0.301 | 0.311 | 0.311 |
| 2013 | 0.012 | 0.059 | 0.104 | 0.214 | 0.289 | 0.314 | 0.329 | 0.329 |
| 2014 | 0.010 | 0.052 | 0.090 | 0.195 | 0.271 | 0.297 | 0.313 | 0.313 |
| 2015 | 0.014 | 0.073 | 0.111 | 0.235 | 0.341 | 0.379 | 0.403 | 0.403 |
| 2016 | 0.017 | 0.090 | 0.115 | 0.218 | 0.336 | 0.383 | 0.413 | 0.413 |
| 2017 | 0.015 | 0.081 | 0.093 | 0.168 | 0.327 | 0.427 | 0.494 | 0.494 |
| 2018 | 0.009 | 0.053 | 0.059 | 0.094 | 0.184 | 0.268 | 0.333 | 0.333 |
| 2019 | 0.012 | 0.069 | 0.072 | 0.095 | 0.179 | 0.304 | 0.435 | 0.435 |
| 2020 | 0.012 | 0.070 | 0.071 | 0.082 | 0.139 | 0.256 | 0.424 | 0.424 |
| 2021 | 0.012 | 0.070 | 0.074 | 0.085 | 0.136 | 0.238 | 0.376 | 0.376 |